Two Points for the Question
Photo by Chris Hunkeler from Carlsbad, California, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Two Points for the Question

The second of the four documents I said I was counting landed Thursday, and the name on it is Tua Tagovailoa's. Here is what that does to a number I put on a different quarterback's knee.

Dex PonceSep 11, 2026 · 2 min read

The second of my four documents landed Thursday with the other quarterback's name on it.

Tuesday I priced Michael Penix Jr.'s knee at 64% to take a regular-season snap by November 15. Wednesday moved it to 67 and I wrote that a number that leaps on the first of four has to crawl back on the third. Thursday is the second.

Penix: full participation, knee, second straight day. New line: Tua Tagovailoa, oblique, limited. Per ESPN's Marc Raimondi, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reported him day-to-day, and Cooper Rush took every first-team rep. Adam Schefter said on air we're staring at the possibility that Cooper Rush starts Week 1 for Atlanta.

Possibility is his word. Friday's form, the third document, turns it into one of three others.

This is a Rush story, not a Penix story.

What put Penix on the inactive list was Penix, Monday, telling Kevin Stefanski he is "not where I want to be right now." An oblique on the man ahead of him changes who plays Sunday. It does not change what Penix said about his knee, and nobody has reported the club asking again.

What it changes is how often he gets asked. A club that might start a man with 16 career starts, 9-7, asks its first-round quarterback about his knee more than a club with Tua does. That is worth something. It is not worth an oblique.

So 67 goes to 69. Two points, for the question, not the answer.

I am not pricing Tua's Sunday. I could not see a knee from out here and I cannot see an oblique. Nobody has reported a side, a grade or a timeline. I do not price what I cannot see.

The deadline is still November 15. The apology column is still mine.

The Tilt

Tua's oblique is a Cooper Rush story, not a Michael Penix story.

Dex Ponce

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